Will Taylor Swift announce she is pregnant before January 2025?
  • 374
  • 937
  • $162,295
Several markets have been created to predict whether Taylor Swift will announce her pregnancy before January 2025. One market resolves "yes" if Taylor Swift announces she is pregnant between February 11 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, based on credible sources such as verified social media accounts or official announcements. Another market takes a broader approach, resolving "yes" for any announcement of pregnancy made by Taylor Swift. Both markets will resolve to "no" if there is no such announcement before January 1, 2025. If an announcement is made after January 1, 2025, it will not affect the resolution of these markets.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJan2024AprJulOctJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 375
  • 48
  • $123

Will Taylor Swift announce she is pregnant in 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B+
0.0130
-0.1209
0.9918
Time-Weighted Average
B
0.0160
-0.1351
0.9897
30 Days Before Close
B+
0.0102
-0.1062
0.9938
7 Days Before Close
A-
0.0076
-0.0911
0.9955
Relative Score
B-
-0.004
+0.007
+0.003
  • Polymarket
  • 325
  • 889
  • $162,172

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C+
0.0462
-0.2421
0.9645
Time-Weighted Average
B
0.0166
-0.1378
0.9893
30 Days Before Close
A
0.0018
-0.0434
0.9990
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0003
-0.0187
0.9998
Relative Score
C
+0.004
-0.007
-0.003
  • Overall
  • 374
  • 937
  • $162,295
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B
0.0296
-0.1815
0.9782
Time-Weighted Average
B
0.0163
-0.1364
0.9895
30 Days Before Close
A
0.0060
-0.0748
0.9964
7 Days Before Close
A
0.0040
-0.0549
0.9977

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