This market predicts whether a nuclear weapon will detonate in 2024, resolving to "Yes" if it does so anywhere on Earth between July 1 and December 31, inclusive. The resolution is triggered by a successful nuclear detonation, not by the use or launch of a nuclear weapon that fails to explode or distributes radioactive material through a conventional explosion. A confirmed detonation based on credible reporting will trigger a "Yes" resolution as soon as possible. Determining whether a detonation was nuclear will be made by a preponderance of credible reporting. The market's outcome may change rapidly as new information becomes available.