Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D+ | 0.0441 | -0.2357 | 0.9664 |
Time-Weighted Average | D | 0.0607 | -0.2828 | 0.9505 |
30 Days Before Close | D+ | 0.0324 | -0.1985 | 0.9767 |
7 Days Before Close | D+ | 0.0484 | -0.2485 | 0.9624 |
Relative Score | A | -0.032 | +0.076 | +0.038 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | F | 0.6069 | -1.5097 | 0.2729 |
Time-Weighted Average | F | 0.5276 | -1.2960 | 0.3525 |
30 Days Before Close | D | 0.1024 | -0.3857 | 0.9048 |
7 Days Before Close | D | 0.0530 | -0.2615 | 0.9581 |
Relative Score | D- | +0.032 | -0.076 | -0.038 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D+ | 0.0400 | -0.2231 | 0.9701 |
Time-Weighted Average | D+ | 0.0447 | -0.2375 | 0.9659 |
Relative Score | C | +0.004 | -0.025 | -0.003 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.2303 | -0.6562 | 0.7365 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.2110 | -0.6055 | 0.7563 |
30 Days Before Close | D | 0.0674 | -0.2921 | 0.9408 |
7 Days Before Close | D | 0.0507 | -0.2550 | 0.9603 |
Kalshi | C | +0.001 |
Manifold | F | +0.036 |
Polymarket | A | -0.032 |