Will Taylor Swift announce she is pregnant before January 2025?
  • 374
  • 937
  • $162,295
Several markets have been created to predict whether Taylor Swift will announce her pregnancy before January 2025. One market resolves "yes" if Taylor Swift announces she is pregnant between February 11 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, based on credible sources such as verified social media accounts or official announcements. Another market takes a broader approach, resolving "yes" for any announcement of pregnancy made by Taylor Swift. Both markets will resolve to "no" if there is no such announcement before January 1, 2025. If an announcement is made after January 1, 2025, it will not affect the resolution of these markets.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJan2024AprJulOctJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 375
  • 48
  • $123

Will Taylor Swift announce she is pregnant in 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.0130
-0.1209
0.9918
Time-Weighted Average
C-
0.0160
-0.1351
0.9897
30 Days Before Close
C
0.0102
-0.1062
0.9938
7 Days Before Close
C
0.0076
-0.0911
0.9955
Relative Score
B-
-0.004
+0.007
+0.003
  • Polymarket
  • 325
  • 889
  • $162,172

Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D+
0.0462
-0.2421
0.9645
Time-Weighted Average
C-
0.0166
-0.1378
0.9893
30 Days Before Close
A-
0.0018
-0.0434
0.9990
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0003
-0.0187
0.9998
Relative Score
C
+0.004
-0.007
-0.003
  • Overall
  • 374
  • 937
  • $162,295
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D+
0.0296
-0.1815
0.9782
Time-Weighted Average
C-
0.0163
-0.1364
0.9895
30 Days Before Close
C+
0.0060
-0.0748
0.9964
7 Days Before Close
B
0.0040
-0.0549
0.9977

Similar Questions

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before January 2025?
  • 5,041
  • $4,743,349
Manifold
C
+0.002
Polymarket
C+
-0.002
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift get engaged before January 2025?
  • 1,487
  • $552,016
Manifold
A
-0.018
Polymarket
D
+0.018
Will the World Health Organization declare H5N1 a pandemic before January 2025?
  • 1,442
  • $1,143,346
Kalshi
C
+0.000
Polymarket
C+
-0.000
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be arrested before 2026?
  • 4,866
  • $8,760,010
Manifold
A+
-0.040
Polymarket
F
+0.040
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
  • 1,963
  • $85,062
Kalshi
A
-0.029
Manifold
F
+0.106
Polymarket
A
-0.038
Will Apple announce a foldable phone before January 2025?
  • 10
  • $30,116
Kalshi
C
+0.004
Manifold
B-
-0.004