Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | A | 0.0016 | -0.0408 | 0.9991 |
Time-Weighted Average | C | 0.0135 | -0.1236 | 0.9915 |
30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0016 | -0.0408 | 0.9991 |
7 Days Before Close | S | 0.0001 | -0.0101 | 0.9999 |
Relative Score | C | +0.004 | -0.016 | -0.003 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | B+ | 0.0029 | -0.0551 | 0.9984 |
Time-Weighted Average | B+ | 0.0029 | -0.0555 | 0.9984 |
30 Days Before Close | B+ | 0.0029 | -0.0551 | 0.9984 |
7 Days Before Close | B+ | 0.0029 | -0.0551 | 0.9984 |
Relative Score | B- | -0.004 | +0.016 | +0.003 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | B+ | 0.0022 | -0.0480 | 0.9988 |
Time-Weighted Average | C | 0.0082 | -0.0896 | 0.9949 |
30 Days Before Close | B+ | 0.0022 | -0.0480 | 0.9988 |
7 Days Before Close | A | 0.0015 | -0.0326 | 0.9992 |
Kalshi | A | -0.032 |
Manifold | F | +0.037 |
Polymarket | C | +0.003 |