Will Anthropic AI (Claude) be available in Siri in 2024?
  • 254
  • 12
  • $20,923
Anthropic AI (Claude) is expected to be integrated into Siri by 2024. If Apple announces a partnership with Anthropic, the integration will occur before January 1, 2025. The availability of Claude in any part of the world counts towards the resolution, regardless of US availability. Resolution criteria include a company announcement and release of a new model name. The market's outcome is not dependent on betting, but rather the actual occurrence of Apple and Anthropic partnering and integrating Claude into Siri.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityMay2024JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 255
  • $9,857

Apple AI partnership? | Anthropic

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1225
-0.4308
0.8805
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0488
-0.2497
0.9620
30 Days Before Close
A+
0.0004
-0.0202
0.9998
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0009
-0.0305
0.9995
Relative Score
D
+0.016
-0.036
-0.019
  • Manifold
  • 180
  • 12
  • $11,066

Which AIs will be available in Siri in 2024? | Anthropic (Claude)

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C-
0.0213
-0.1579
0.9857
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0344
-0.2053
0.9750
30 Days Before Close
C
0.0107
-0.1093
0.9934
7 Days Before Close
C+
0.0071
-0.0882
0.9958
Relative Score
A
-0.016
+0.036
+0.019
  • Overall
  • 254
  • 12
  • $20,923
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.0719
-0.2944
0.9331
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0416
-0.2275
0.9685
30 Days Before Close
C+
0.0056
-0.0647
0.9966
7 Days Before Close
B
0.0040
-0.0593
0.9976

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