This market predicts whether a bird flu pandemic will occur in 2024, with a resolution to "Yes" if the World Health Organization declares H5N1 a pandemic by December 31, 2024. The outcome is determined solely by official WHO declarations, but consensus among credible reporting sources may also be considered. The primary focus of this market is on the specific date and declaration criteria set forth by the WHO. A resolution to "No" would indicate that the WHO has not declared a pandemic by the specified deadline. If the market resolves to "Yes", it implies that the bird flu outbreak will meet the criteria for a declared pandemic by 2024's end.