Will the Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 PGA Championship?
  • 365
  • 272
  • $8,833,483
Scottie Scheffler's chances of winning are currently being assessed by market participants. To be resolved, a simple "Yes" or "No" answer is sufficient for both markets, with the outcome determined by whether Scheffler wins the PGA Championship in 2025. The second market takes an even broader view, considering all upcoming PGA Championships, not just one specific event. If Scheffler were to win any future PGA Championship, this market would resolve to "Yes". There is no resolution criteria specified for either of these markets, leaving it up to the discretion of participants to determine what constitutes a win.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJul2024OctJan2025Apr

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 95
  • $8,517,254

Will the Scottie Scheffler win the PGA Championship?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7921
-2.2073
0.1227
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.6792
-1.7382
0.2087
30 Days Before Close
F
0.7569
-2.0402
0.1478
7 Days Before Close
F
0.6724
-1.7148
0.2144
Relative Score
A+
-0.058
+0.268
+0.044
  • Manifold
  • 365
  • 24
  • $148

Golf: Who will win the 2025 PGA Championship? | Scottie Scheffler

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.8555
-2.5892
0.0809
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.8367
-2.4615
0.0929
30 Days Before Close
F
0.7636
-2.0704
0.1429
7 Days Before Close
F
0.5891
-1.4589
0.2899
Relative Score
F
+0.050
-0.240
-0.036
  • Polymarket
  • 23
  • 248
  • $316,081

Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.6708
-1.7093
0.2158
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.6170
-1.5393
0.2635
7 Days Before Close
F
0.6997
-1.8109
0.1918
Relative Score
A
-0.023
+0.056
+0.026
  • Overall
  • 365
  • 272
  • $8,833,483
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7728
-2.1686
0.1398
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.7110
-1.9130
0.1883
30 Days Before Close
F
0.7603
-2.0553
0.1453
7 Days Before Close
F
0.6537
-1.6616
0.2320

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