Will Verstappen win the 2024 F1 Drivers' Championship?
  • 334
  • 3,589
  • $835,506
This market resolves to "Yes" if Max Verstappen finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2024 F1 season. If he does not, it resolves to "No". The market will close as soon as the final scheduled race's results are known or by December 29, 2024, whichever comes first. In the event of a tie, Formula One rules will determine the outcome. This market is dependent on Max Verstappen competing in all races and does not account for any driver replacements during the season.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityFeb2024MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 321
  • 66
  • $275

🏁 F1 2024: Which Driver Will Win The 2024 F1 (Formula One) Drivers' Championship? (Dependent MC) | Max Verstappen (Oracle Red Bull Racing)

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C+
0.0071
-0.0877
0.9958
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0287
-0.1857
0.9798
30 Days Before Close
C
0.0101
-0.1062
0.9938
7 Days Before Close
A
0.0012
-0.0345
0.9994
Relative Score
B
-0.004
+0.011
+0.005
  • Polymarket
  • 166
  • 3,523
  • $835,230

Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1156
-0.4155
0.8890
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0394
-0.2213
0.9707
30 Days Before Close
A
0.0013
-0.0367
0.9993
7 Days Before Close
S
0.0000
-0.0045
1.0000
Relative Score
C
+0.004
-0.011
-0.005
  • Overall
  • 334
  • 3,589
  • $835,506
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.0613
-0.2516
0.9424
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0341
-0.2035
0.9752
30 Days Before Close
C+
0.0057
-0.0714
0.9965
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0006
-0.0195
0.9997

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