Will McLaren win the 2024 F1 Constructor’s Championship?
  • 298
  • 1,481
  • $522,273
A market resolves to "Yes" if McLaren wins the Constructor's Championship, while it resolves to "No" in any other case. The resolution is contingent upon the team's performance throughout the season, with tiebreakers favoring teams listed alphabetically by name. If a team becomes mathematically eliminated from contention, the market will resolve accordingly. The source of information is official F1 data. In the event of a championship cancellation or unforeseen circumstances, this market defaults to an inconclusive result.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityMar2024AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.9237
-3.2470
0.0404
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.4124
-1.0278
0.4867
30 Days Before Close
D+
0.0334
-0.2017
0.9759
7 Days Before Close
B+
0.0029
-0.0557
0.9984
Relative Score
C-
+0.007
-0.022
-0.007
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.0081
-0.0943
0.9951
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0281
-0.1836
0.9803
30 Days Before Close
D+
0.0324
-0.1985
0.9767
7 Days Before Close
B
0.0030
-0.0566
0.9983
Relative Score
B
-0.007
+0.022
+0.007
  • Overall
  • 298
  • 1,481
  • $522,273
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4659
-1.6706
0.5178
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.2203
-0.6057
0.7335
30 Days Before Close
D+
0.0329
-0.2001
0.9763
7 Days Before Close
B+
0.0030
-0.0561
0.9983

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