Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | A | 0.0016 | -0.0408 | 0.9991 |
Time-Weighted Average | B+ | 0.0028 | -0.0548 | 0.9984 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0009 | -0.0305 | 0.9995 |
7 Days Before Close | S | 0.0001 | -0.0101 | 0.9999 |
Relative Score | C+ | -0.001 | +0.005 | +0.001 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.1556 | -0.5017 | 0.8379 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.2333 | -0.6598 | 0.7307 |
30 Days Before Close | B+ | 0.0027 | -0.0532 | 0.9985 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0001 | -0.0122 | 0.9999 |
Relative Score | B | -0.006 | +0.019 | +0.006 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D | 0.0590 | -0.2784 | 0.9521 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1507 | -0.4913 | 0.8444 |
30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0017 | -0.0419 | 0.9991 |
7 Days Before Close | S | 0.0001 | -0.0075 | 1.0000 |
Relative Score | C- | +0.007 | -0.020 | -0.007 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D | 0.0721 | -0.2736 | 0.9297 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1289 | -0.4020 | 0.8578 |
30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0018 | -0.0418 | 0.9990 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0001 | -0.0099 | 0.9999 |
Kalshi | D+ | +0.010 |
Manifold | A- | -0.010 |
Polymarket | C+ | -0.000 |