Will Manchester City win the 2024 Premier League?
  • 284
  • 433
  • $61,435
Man City is favored to win the 2023/24 Premier League due to their historical dominance. The market requires a definitive champion to be crowned; if Man City wins, they are expected to take the title outright. There are no mid-season or year-end surprises allowed in this market's resolution criteria. A mathematical certainty of winning will prompt an immediate "Yes" outcome, while an impossible loss will trigger an "No".

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilitySep2023OctNovDecJan2024FebMarAprMay

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 285
  • 321
  • $1,626

Will Manchester City win the 2023/24 Premier League?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.2464
-0.6860
0.7121
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1785
-0.5490
0.8071
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.1167
-0.4180
0.8876
7 Days Before Close
D
0.0628
-0.2884
0.9484
Relative Score
B
-0.008
+0.016
+0.010
  • Polymarket
  • 279
  • 112
  • $59,809

Will Man City win the Premier League?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.2500
-0.6931
0.7071
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1931
-0.5789
0.7870
30 Days Before Close
D
0.1024
-0.3857
0.9048
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1363
-0.4607
0.8631
Relative Score
C-
+0.008
-0.016
-0.010
  • Overall
  • 284
  • 433
  • $61,435
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.2482
-0.6896
0.7096
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1858
-0.5639
0.7970
30 Days Before Close
D
0.1096
-0.4018
0.8962
7 Days Before Close
D
0.0995
-0.3746
0.9057

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