Will Manchester City win the 2024 Premier League?
  • 332
  • 216
  • $3,836
Manchester City is expected to win the upcoming season of the Premier League, with one market resolving as "Yes" if they are declared champions and another if they meet a specific criteria. The markets on different platforms consider Manchester City's chances of winning, with some having more stringent resolution criteria, such as requiring mathematical certainty or impossibility for the team to be champion. Some also specify points deductions past certain thresholds will not affect the market's resolution. A third platform resolves the market if the 2022-23 Premier League champion has been determined by August 12, 2023.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJul2022AugSepOctNovDecJan2023FebMarAprMay

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 232
  • 83
  • $2,817

Will Manchester City win the Premier League this season?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4225
-1.0498
0.4741
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1660
-0.5233
0.8240
30 Days Before Close
D
0.0625
-0.2877
0.9487
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0002
-0.0125
0.9999
Relative Score
D+
+0.011
-0.021
-0.016
  • Metaculus
  • 329
  • 126

Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester City)

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1710
-0.5335
0.8173
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1904
-0.5733
0.7908
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.1788
-0.5496
0.8067
7 Days Before Close
C
0.0088
-0.0987
0.9947
Relative Score
C
+0.005
-0.014
-0.005
  • Polymarket
  • 88
  • 7
  • $1,019

Will Manchester City be the 2022-23 Premier League champions?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3364
-0.8675
0.5865
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1316
-0.4507
0.8690
30 Days Before Close
D
0.1024
-0.3857
0.9048
7 Days Before Close
B
0.0042
-0.0672
0.9976
Relative Score
B+
-0.009
+0.021
+0.012
  • Overall
  • 332
  • 216
  • $3,836
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3100
-0.8169
0.6260
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1627
-0.5157
0.8279
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.1146
-0.4076
0.8867
7 Days Before Close
B
0.0044
-0.0594
0.9974

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