Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 Masters Tournament?
  • 365
  • 585
  • $23,534,588
Rory McIlroy's chances of winning are being bet on as he competes in the upcoming Masters Tournament. If McIlroy takes top honors, his odds will be considered correct and a "Yes" result is recorded. However, if he is mathematically eliminated from contention before the tournament concludes, or if no winner is announced by December 31, 2025, the market resolves to "No". In case of a tie, the official winner will be considered, with ties resolved according to tournament rules. The outcome is ultimately determined by official results published by The Masters.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJul2024OctJan2025Apr

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 62
  • $22,034,806

Will the Rory McIlroy win the Masters?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7921
-2.2073
0.1227
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.7615
-2.0609
0.1444
30 Days Before Close
F
0.8281
-2.4079
0.0984
7 Days Before Close
F
0.7396
-1.9661
0.1607
Relative Score
A
-0.017
+0.100
+0.011
  • Manifold
  • 365
  • 82
  • $602

Golf: Who will win the 2025 Masters Tournament? | Rory McIlroy

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.9445
-3.5704
0.0289
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.8838
-2.8152
0.0636
30 Days Before Close
F
0.8858
-2.8327
0.0624
7 Days Before Close
F
0.7814
-2.1540
0.1301
Relative Score
D
+0.023
-0.134
-0.016
  • Polymarket
  • 19
  • 503
  • $1,499,181

Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7656
-2.0794
0.1414
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.6862
-1.7625
0.2029
7 Days Before Close
F
0.7656
-2.0794
0.1414
Relative Score
A+
-0.040
+0.138
+0.035
  • Overall
  • 365
  • 585
  • $23,534,588
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.8341
-2.6190
0.0977
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.7772
-2.2129
0.1369
30 Days Before Close
F
0.8569
-2.6203
0.0804
7 Days Before Close
F
0.7622
-2.0665
0.1441

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