Will Duke make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 353
  • 10
  • $6,004,482
The markets predict which NCAA Men's Basketball teams will reach the Elite Eight in March Madness in 2025. The resolution criteria vary across platforms, with one market requiring a specific number of teams to make it (8 teams) and another leaving open-ended for additional teams to be included. One platform provides no information on how many teams should qualify, while another leaves room for comment from users to add any missing teams. Overall, the markets reflect different approaches to predicting March Madness success in 2025. The outcomes will determine which teams advance to the Elite Eight and ultimately, the NCAA Men's Basketball tournament.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJul2024OctJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 12
  • $6,003,823

Will Duke qualify for Round of 8?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.0784
-0.3285
0.9320
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.0539
-0.2641
0.9572
7 Days Before Close
F
0.2601
-0.7133
0.6928
Relative Score
B
-0.008
+0.019
+0.009
  • Manifold
  • 354
  • 10
  • $659

Which NCAA Men's Basketball teams will make the Elite Eight in March Madness in 2025? | Duke

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D+
0.0421
-0.2297
0.9683
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1488
-0.4873
0.8469
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.1358
-0.4597
0.8637
7 Days Before Close
C-
0.0189
-0.1478
0.9876
Relative Score
C-
+0.008
-0.019
-0.009
  • Overall
  • 353
  • 10
  • $6,004,482
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.0603
-0.2791
0.9501
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.1013
-0.3757
0.9021
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.1358
-0.4597
0.8637
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1395
-0.4306
0.8402

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