Will Alabama make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 353
  • 5
  • $4,044,157
These markets focus on predicting which NCAA Men's Basketball teams will reach the Elite Eight in March Madness 2025. The resolution criteria vary slightly, with one market specifying that it will resolve yes for exactly 8 qualifying teams and inviting users to comment if any notable teams are missing from the list.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJul2024OctJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3136
-0.8210
0.6178
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.2027
-0.5983
0.7737
7 Days Before Close
F
0.2916
-0.7765
0.6485
Relative Score
A-
-0.013
+0.029
+0.017
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3529
-0.9014
0.5643
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.3506
-0.8968
0.5673
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3010
-0.7955
0.6353
7 Days Before Close
F
0.3010
-0.7955
0.6353
Relative Score
D+
+0.013
-0.029
-0.017
  • Overall
  • 353
  • 5
  • $4,044,157
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3332
-0.8612
0.5910
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.2767
-0.7475
0.6705
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3010
-0.7955
0.6353
7 Days Before Close
F
0.2963
-0.7860
0.6419

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