Will Duke make the Final Four in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 358
  • 113
  • $6,595,085
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Duke advances to and wins the 2025 NCAA March Madness Final Four. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If they are eliminated from competition, it immediately resolves to “No.” The resolution source is official information from the NCAA. If the Final Four has not been determined by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, it also resolves to "No."

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJul2024OctJan2025Apr

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 14
  • $6,567,574

Will Duke qualify for Semifinal?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1225
-0.4308
0.8805
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1484
-0.4864
0.8474
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1764
-0.5447
0.8099
Relative Score
C+
-0.000
-0.000
+0.000
  • Manifold
  • 359
  • 20
  • $1,568

Which NCAA Men's Basketball teams will make the Final Four in March Madness in 2025? | Duke

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3547
-0.9053
0.5618
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.4442
-1.0981
0.4475
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3980
-0.9966
0.5050
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1112
-0.4057
0.8943
Relative Score
B
-0.005
+0.021
+0.002
  • Polymarket
  • 4
  • 93
  • $25,943

Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.0702
-0.3079
0.9407
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.0689
-0.3043
0.9422
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1681
-0.5276
0.8212
Relative Score
C+
-0.001
+0.002
+0.001
  • Overall
  • 358
  • 113
  • $6,595,085
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1825
-0.5480
0.7943
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.2205
-0.6296
0.7457
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3980
-0.9966
0.5050
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1519
-0.4927
0.8418

Similar Questions

Will Auburn make the Final Four in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 67
  • $8,472,883
Kalshi
B-
-0.003
Manifold
D+
+0.011
Polymarket
C+
-0.001
Will Duke make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 10
  • $6,004,482
Kalshi
B
-0.008
Manifold
C-
+0.008
Will Florida make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 8
  • $3,868,702
Kalshi
A-
-0.015
Manifold
D+
+0.015
Will Texas Tech make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 6
  • $5,711,493
Kalshi
S
-0.092
Manifold
F
+0.092
Will Alabama make it to the Elite Eight in the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 5
  • $4,044,157
Kalshi
A-
-0.013
Manifold
D+
+0.013
Will a #1 seed win the 2025 NCAA March Madness Tournament?
  • 61
  • $82,646
Manifold
D-
+0.030
Polymarket
A
-0.030