Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?
  • 53
  • 959
  • $885
US officials have been slowly releasing documents related to Jeffrey Epstein's sex trafficking case over the past few years, with a significant tranche of records unsealed in January 2024. The most recent development came in September 2024 when Donald Trump mentioned that he would be open to releasing a list of Epstein's clients. To resolve this question as **Yes**, additional Epstein-related documents must be released by the US government between January 1, 2025 and December 31, 2025, regardless of whether they contain new information or not. Any number of released documents will qualify, including those resulting from Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requirements. The release can occur voluntarily or due to mandates, but must actually become available during this time frame for the question to resolve as **Yes**.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability12Jan19262Feb916232Mar

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 42
  • 38
  • $885

Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.2913
-0.7758
0.6489
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.2115
-0.6160
0.7614
30 Days Before Close
F
0.4084
-1.0191
0.4918
7 Days Before Close
C
0.1015
-0.3836
0.9059
Relative Score
A+
-0.063
+0.137
+0.083
  • Metaculus
  • 53
  • 921

Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4379
-1.0840
0.4551
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.3754
-0.9485
0.5344
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3971
-0.9946
0.5062
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.3497
-0.8949
0.5685
Relative Score
F
+0.063
-0.137
-0.083
  • Overall
  • 53
  • 959
  • $885
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3646
-0.9299
0.5520
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.2934
-0.7822
0.6479
30 Days Before Close
F
0.4027
-1.0068
0.4990
7 Days Before Close
D
0.2256
-0.6393
0.7372

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