Several platforms have created markets to predict whether Donald Trump will be indicted for obstruction of justice before 2026. The resolution criteria vary slightly, with some specifying that an indictment must occur by December 31, 2025, while others do not have a specific deadline. One platform considers any form of obstruction charge, regardless of its connection to the 2016 election interference. A loss of immunity from federal criminal indictment on January 20 is also seen as a potential trigger for re-examination of possible obstruction of justice cases by prosecutors. The markets focus on whether an actual indictment will occur before the specified date or year.