This market covers events up to and including Election Day, November 5, 2024, and resolves to "Yes" if the Republican candidate wins the popular vote that day. The resolution source is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, with the market resolving once all three sources call the race for the same candidate or based on official certification. If the Republican nominee switches parties after the start of Election Day, the outcome will not be affected. The market's criteria are tied to the popular vote outcome, and the result is contingent upon the party which wins the popular vote being the same as the one that won the seat at the time of the next inauguration. If the Republican candidate wins the Senate election, the market will resolve in favor of "Yes", otherwise it resolves in favor of "No".