Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | A | 0.0011 | -0.0330 | 0.9994 |
Time-Weighted Average | A+ | 0.0004 | -0.0205 | 0.9998 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0004 | -0.0202 | 0.9998 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0004 | -0.0202 | 0.9998 |
Relative Score | A+ | -0.045 | +0.129 | +0.050 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | A- | 0.0019 | -0.0445 | 0.9990 |
Time-Weighted Average | A- | 0.0021 | -0.0465 | 0.9989 |
30 Days Before Close | A | 0.0014 | -0.0384 | 0.9992 |
7 Days Before Close | A | 0.0014 | -0.0384 | 0.9992 |
Relative Score | B- | -0.002 | +0.010 | +0.002 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | B | 0.0042 | -0.0672 | 0.9976 |
Time-Weighted Average | B | 0.0034 | -0.0597 | 0.9981 |
30 Days Before Close | S | 0.0000 | -0.0064 | 1.0000 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0003 | -0.0187 | 0.9998 |
Relative Score | C | +0.003 | -0.012 | -0.002 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | B+ | 0.0024 | -0.0483 | 0.9987 |
Time-Weighted Average | A- | 0.0019 | -0.0422 | 0.9989 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0006 | -0.0217 | 0.9997 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0007 | -0.0258 | 0.9996 |
Kalshi | C | +0.001 |
Manifold | C | +0.002 |
Polymarket | C+ | -0.001 |
Kalshi | C | +0.003 |
Manifold | C | +0.002 |
Polymarket | C+ | -0.002 |