Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.1354 | -0.4588 | 0.8642 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1892 | -0.5710 | 0.7923 |
30 Days Before Close | D- | 0.1743 | -0.5404 | 0.8128 |
7 Days Before Close | D- | 0.2345 | -0.6621 | 0.7291 |
Relative Score | B | -0.006 | +0.011 | +0.010 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.1406 | -0.4700 | 0.8575 |
Time-Weighted Average | F | 0.2807 | -0.7546 | 0.6638 |
30 Days Before Close | D- | 0.1296 | -0.4463 | 0.8716 |
7 Days Before Close | F | 0.3969 | -0.9943 | 0.5064 |
Relative Score | C- | +0.006 | -0.011 | -0.010 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.1380 | -0.4644 | 0.8609 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.2350 | -0.6628 | 0.7281 |
30 Days Before Close | D- | 0.1519 | -0.4933 | 0.8422 |
7 Days Before Close | F | 0.3157 | -0.8282 | 0.6177 |
Kalshi | B- | -0.004 |
Manifold | C | +0.004 |
Polymarket | C+ | -0.000 |