Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.1133 | -0.4103 | 0.8918 |
Time-Weighted Average | D+ | 0.0483 | -0.2481 | 0.9626 |
30 Days Before Close | S | 0.0001 | -0.0101 | 0.9999 |
7 Days Before Close | S | 0.0001 | -0.0101 | 0.9999 |
Relative Score | D- | +0.032 | -0.092 | -0.035 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | A | 0.0016 | -0.0411 | 0.9991 |
Time-Weighted Average | C- | 0.0240 | -0.1683 | 0.9836 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0006 | -0.0240 | 0.9997 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0006 | -0.0240 | 0.9997 |
Relative Score | A | -0.032 | +0.092 | +0.035 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D | 0.0575 | -0.2257 | 0.9455 |
Time-Weighted Average | D+ | 0.0361 | -0.2082 | 0.9731 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0003 | -0.0170 | 0.9998 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0003 | -0.0170 | 0.9998 |
Kalshi | B- | -0.004 |
Manifold | C | +0.004 |
Polymarket | C+ | -0.000 |