Will Google Maps display "Gulf of America" in place of "Gulf of Mexico" before 2026?
  • 23
  • 1,875
  • $1,101,890
Proposals have been made to rename the Gulf of Mexico to the "Gulf of America," but no official changes have been approved. One proposal suggests displaying both names, while another proposes renaming the body of water entirely. Some platforms create a futures contract on this issue, which would resolve if Google Maps displays "Gulf of America" instead of "Gulf of Mexico" before January 1, 2026, and must be visible to all users worldwide. However, others have proposed a shorter timeline of March 1, 2025. The change would need to be made on the main website or mobile app for the market to resolve YES.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability22Jan242628301Feb357911

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D+
0.0299
-0.1899
0.9788
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.0804
-0.3333
0.9299
7 Days Before Close
C-
0.0167
-0.1386
0.9891
Relative Score
C
+0.003
+0.009
-0.011
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5972
-1.4818
0.2821
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5462
-1.3434
0.3330
Relative Score
F
+0.554
-1.431
-0.642
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D+
0.0342
-0.2046
0.9752
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.0694
-0.3058
0.9416
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.0342
-0.2046
0.9752
Relative Score
A-
-0.016
+0.031
+0.023
  • Overall
  • 23
  • 1,875
  • $1,101,890
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.2204
-0.6254
0.7454
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.2320
-0.6609
0.7348
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.0255
-0.1716
0.9822

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