Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | F | 0.4189 | -1.0419 | 0.4786 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1813 | -0.5548 | 0.8033 |
30 Days Before Close | F | 0.2774 | -0.7479 | 0.6685 |
7 Days Before Close | D | 0.0792 | -0.3305 | 0.9311 |
Relative Score | C- | +0.006 | -0.014 | -0.007 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D- | 0.2162 | -0.6255 | 0.7548 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1572 | -0.5049 | 0.8358 |
30 Days Before Close | F | 0.2970 | -0.7875 | 0.6409 |
7 Days Before Close | D | 0.0625 | -0.2877 | 0.9487 |
Relative Score | B | -0.006 | +0.014 | +0.007 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | F | 0.3176 | -0.8337 | 0.6167 |
Time-Weighted Average | D- | 0.1692 | -0.5299 | 0.8195 |
30 Days Before Close | F | 0.2872 | -0.7677 | 0.6547 |
7 Days Before Close | D | 0.0708 | -0.3091 | 0.9399 |
Kalshi | C+ | -0.001 |
Manifold | C+ | -0.000 |
Polymarket | C | +0.001 |
Kalshi | A | -0.019 |
Manifold | D+ | +0.011 |
Polymarket | B | -0.005 |
Kalshi | D+ | +0.010 |
Manifold | C- | +0.008 |
Metaculus | A+ | -0.048 |
Kalshi | C | +0.003 |
Manifold | C+ | -0.002 |
Polymarket | C | +0.003 |