Will Wicked win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?
  • 127
  • 105
  • $89,058
These markets assess the likelihood of Wicked winning Best Production Design at the Oscars by setting a resolution criteria based on official Academy Awards information and credible reporting. The 97th Academy Awards are scheduled for March 2, 2025, with the market resolving to Yes if Wicked wins, according to the announced winner for Best Production Design. In case of no declared winner by June 30, 2025, or a tie, the nominated film in alphabetical order is resolved as the winner. The primary source for this information includes official Academy Awards data and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. A consensus of reputable reporting may also be used to settle the market.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityNov2024DecJan2025FebMar

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 128
  • $77,388

Will Wicked win Best Production Design at the Oscars? | Wicked

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1296
-0.4463
0.8716
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1871
-0.5666
0.7953
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.1600
-0.5108
0.8321
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.0400
-0.2231
0.9701
Relative Score
A+
-0.051
+0.108
+0.066
  • Manifold
  • 39
  • 22
  • $33

Which film will win Best Production Design? (2025 Oscars) | Wicked

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.2666
-0.7263
0.6837
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1899
-0.5723
0.7915
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.2286
-0.6502
0.7374
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.0482
-0.2480
0.9626
Relative Score
F
+0.074
-0.159
-0.096
  • Polymarket
  • 13
  • 83
  • $11,637

Will "Wicked" win Best Production Design at the 2025 Oscars?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.0552
-0.2679
0.9559
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0420
-0.2294
0.9683
7 Days Before Close
D
0.0529
-0.2614
0.9582
Relative Score
C+
-0.001
+0.004
+0.001
  • Overall
  • 127
  • 105
  • $89,058
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1505
-0.4802
0.8371
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1397
-0.4561
0.8517
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.1943
-0.5805
0.7847
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.0470
-0.2442
0.9636

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