Will Anora will win the most awards at the 2025 Oscars?
  • 88
  • 336
  • $376,276
Several markets are predicting which movie will win the most Oscars at the 97th Academy Awards. The resolution criteria vary across platforms, with some counting only competitive wins and others including wins by individuals involved in film production. A tie is resolved proportionally among all films tied for the most wins, while in case of a dispute, the nominated film whose title comes first alphabetically is favored. Some markets will resolve to "Other" if no winners are declared by June 30, 2025, and official Academy Awards data is not available. In general, these markets aim to determine which movie received the most awards at the ceremony.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability8Dec1522295Jan1219262Feb916232Mar

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.9409
-3.5066
0.0309
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.7795
-2.1447
0.1315
30 Days Before Close
F
0.9604
-3.9120
0.0204
7 Days Before Close
F
0.3844
-0.9676
0.5226
Relative Score
D
+0.019
-0.044
-0.023
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4308
-1.0681
0.4639
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.4575
-1.1283
0.4315
7 Days Before Close
F
0.5625
-1.3863
0.3162
Relative Score
D-
+0.033
-0.077
-0.038
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.2352
-0.6636
0.7280
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.2645
-0.7221
0.6866
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.2070
-0.6070
0.7676
Relative Score
S
-0.139
+0.289
+0.186
  • Overall
  • 88
  • 336
  • $376,276
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5356
-1.7461
0.4076
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5005
-1.3317
0.4165
30 Days Before Close
F
0.9604
-3.9120
0.0204
7 Days Before Close
F
0.3846
-0.9869
0.5355

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