Will I'm Still Here win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?
  • 97
  • 285
  • $115,796
If "I'm Still Here" wins Best International Feature Film at the 97th Academy Awards on March 2, 2025, then yes it is. The awards will honor movies released in 2024 and the market will close before the ceremony. If no winner is declared by June 30, 2025, or in case of a tie for winner, the market resolves in favor of the nominated film that comes first alphabetically. Official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS will be the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting also used. The ceremony will take place on March 2, 2025, to determine the winner.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability1Dec81522295Jan1219262Feb916232Mar

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 98
  • $63,679

Will I'm Still Here win Best International Feature Film at the Oscars? | I'm Still Here

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.9025
-2.9957
0.0526
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5810
-1.4363
0.2978
30 Days Before Close
F
0.2601
-0.7133
0.6928
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1849
-0.5621
0.7983
Relative Score
C-
+0.010
-0.015
-0.015
  • Manifold
  • 39
  • 28
  • $94

What will win Best International Feature Film? (2025 Oscars) | I'm Still Here

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1984
-0.5895
0.7797
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.2641
-0.7214
0.6872
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.2040
-0.6009
0.7718
7 Days Before Close
D
0.1006
-0.3815
0.9069
Relative Score
A-
-0.011
+0.019
+0.018
  • Polymarket
  • 12
  • 257
  • $52,023

Will "I'm Still Here" win Best International Feature Film at the 2025 Oscars?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.1980
-0.5888
0.7802
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.1906
-0.5737
0.7905
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1806
-0.5534
0.8042
Relative Score
D+
+0.015
-0.030
-0.020
  • Overall
  • 97
  • 285
  • $115,796
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4330
-1.3913
0.5375
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.3452
-0.9105
0.5918
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.2321
-0.6571
0.7323
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.1554
-0.4990
0.8365

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