Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?
  • 329
  • 306
  • $106,092
Adam Neumann is attempting to buy WeWork out of bankruptcy. If he acquires WeWork before December 31, 2024, at least as part of the new ownership group, then he will have bought back WeWork. An announcement by Adam Neumann or his official representative, a company owned by Adam Neumann, or WeWork is enough to trigger a buyback. The primary resolution source for this outcome will be official information from Adam Neumann or his official representative, with a consensus of credible reporting also being considered if necessary.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityMar2024AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 321
  • $21,285

Adam Neumann returns as WeWork CEO before Dec 2024? | Adam Neumann

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C+
0.0400
-0.2231
0.9701
Time-Weighted Average
B+
0.0114
-0.1130
0.9929
30 Days Before Close
A+
0.0009
-0.0305
0.9995
7 Days Before Close
S
0.0001
-0.0101
0.9999
Relative Score
C+
-0.002
+0.010
+0.002
  • Manifold
  • 327
  • 60
  • $108

Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork before the end of 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
A
0.0028
-0.0547
0.9984
Time-Weighted Average
B
0.0203
-0.1538
0.9865
30 Days Before Close
A
0.0024
-0.0505
0.9987
7 Days Before Close
A
0.0024
-0.0505
0.9987
Relative Score
D+
+0.012
-0.030
-0.014
  • Polymarket
  • 330
  • 246
  • $84,699

Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B+
0.0110
-0.1109
0.9932
Time-Weighted Average
B
0.0204
-0.1541
0.9864
30 Days Before Close
A
0.0052
-0.0747
0.9970
7 Days Before Close
S
0.0000
-0.0035
1.0000
Relative Score
C-
+0.009
-0.029
-0.010
  • Overall
  • 329
  • 306
  • $106,092
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B
0.0180
-0.1296
0.9873
Time-Weighted Average
B
0.0174
-0.1403
0.9886
30 Days Before Close
A
0.0028
-0.0519
0.9984
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0008
-0.0213
0.9995

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