Will WeWork announce bankruptcy before 2024?
  • 90
  • 274
  • $4,282
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by the end of 2023? This market resolves to "Yes" if WeWork announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2023. An announcement made through official channels is required, such as a recorded statement by their CEO or legal representation. A filing can occur later and still result in a "No" resolution. This market focuses on the announcement itself, not the actual filing.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability13Aug20273Sep1017241Oct81522295Nov

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 91
  • 256
  • $1,631

Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by the end of 2023?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3883
-0.9758
0.5175
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.3200
-0.8340
0.6090
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3677
-0.9324
0.5445
7 Days Before Close
F
0.4900
-1.2040
0.3939
Relative Score
D+
+0.013
-0.027
-0.018
  • Polymarket
  • 90
  • 18
  • $2,650

Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5776
-1.4271
0.3011
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.2890
-0.7714
0.6521
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.3481
-0.8916
0.5707
7 Days Before Close
C
0.0650
-0.2944
0.9461
Relative Score
A-
-0.013
+0.027
+0.018
  • Overall
  • 90
  • 274
  • $4,282
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4829
-1.2015
0.4093
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.3045
-0.8027
0.6305
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.3579
-0.9120
0.5576
7 Days Before Close
D
0.2775
-0.7492
0.6700

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