The prediction markets are asking if at least one of the 20 most valuable public companies in the US (based on January 2019 data) will file for bankruptcy protection before January 2025. The list includes companies such as Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Apple, and Facebook, with a combined market capitalization of over $3 trillion. A positive resolution would require one of these companies or its successor to file under Chapter 7 or Chapter 11 of the US Bankruptcy Code, representing at least 50% of the original company's market capitalization at the time of independence. The outcome can be resolved by citing relevant court filings or credible media reports in financial press.