Source: brier.fyi
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | A+ | 0.0003 | -0.0162 | 0.9999 |
| Time-Weighted Average | C+ | 0.0492 | -0.2507 | 0.9617 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0004 | -0.0214 | 0.9998 |
| Relative Score | B+ | -0.009 | +0.016 | +0.012 |
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | A+ | 0.0002 | -0.0131 | 0.9999 |
| Time-Weighted Average | B- | 0.0359 | -0.2100 | 0.9738 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0006 | -0.0243 | 0.9997 |
| Relative Score | C- | +0.009 | -0.016 | -0.012 |
| Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At Market Midpoint | A+ | 0.0002 | -0.0147 | 0.9999 |
| Time-Weighted Average | C+ | 0.0425 | -0.2303 | 0.9678 |
| 7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0005 | -0.0229 | 0.9997 |
| Kalshi | C+ | -0.001 |
| Manifold | C+ | -0.000 |
| Polymarket | C | +0.001 |