Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl?
  • 357
  • 6,852
  • $21,883,882
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LIX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityApr2024JulOctJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.2817
-0.7566
0.6624
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.3048
-0.8032
0.6300
7 Days Before Close
F
0.2817
-0.7566
0.6624
Relative Score
C+
-0.002
+0.004
+0.003
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.7902
-2.1978
0.1240
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.8385
-2.4733
0.0917
30 Days Before Close
F
0.8019
-2.2582
0.1160
7 Days Before Close
F
0.2840
-0.7613
0.6591
Relative Score
C
+0.005
-0.080
-0.003
  • Polymarket
  • 216
  • 6,452
  • $11,829,713

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.9050
-3.0228
0.0511
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.7782
-2.1386
0.1324
30 Days Before Close
F
0.7982
-2.2388
0.1185
7 Days Before Close
F
0.2812
-0.7556
0.6631
Relative Score
B-
-0.003
+0.076
+0.000
  • Overall
  • 357
  • 6,852
  • $21,883,882
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.6590
-1.9924
0.2791
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.6405
-1.8050
0.2847
30 Days Before Close
F
0.8000
-2.2485
0.1172
7 Days Before Close
F
0.2823
-0.7578
0.6615

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