Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2025 UEFA Champions League?
  • 274
  • 2,671
  • $54,649,003
This market resolves to "Yes" if Paris Saint-Germain wins the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League, and "No" otherwise. The resolution criteria are based on the team's actual performance in the tournament, with an immediate resolution to "No" if they are eliminated due to tournament rules. All markets seem to share a similar resolution framework, focusing solely on the outcome of the Champions League for Paris Saint-Germain. There is no further distinction between markets, suggesting that they all refer to the same event. The resolution criteria appear to be identical across the platforms, with a focus on team performance and tournament rules.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityOct2024NovDecJan2025FebMarAprMayJun

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 117
  • $3,327,462

Will the Paris Saint-Germain win the Champions League?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.6241
-1.5606
0.2569
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5346
-1.3137
0.3451
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.3364
-0.8675
0.5865
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.1681
-0.5276
0.8212
Relative Score
B
-0.005
+0.039
+0.004
  • Manifold
  • 163
  • 22
  • $965

Who will win the 2024-2025 UEFA Champions League? | PSG

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.6241
-1.5606
0.2569
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.6061
-1.5074
0.2736
30 Days Before Close
D
0.3136
-0.8210
0.6178
7 Days Before Close
C-
0.1600
-0.5108
0.8321
Relative Score
A
-0.021
+0.166
+0.016
  • Metaculus
  • 273
  • 84

Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain)

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.9650
-4.0357
0.0180
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.7728
-2.1125
0.1363
30 Days Before Close
F
0.5119
-1.2568
0.3696
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.1743
-0.5405
0.8128
Relative Score
F
+0.044
-0.299
-0.038
  • Polymarket
  • 23
  • 2,565
  • $51,320,576

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D+
0.1718
-0.5353
0.8162
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.1687
-0.5288
0.8204
30 Days Before Close
D-
0.3352
-0.8651
0.5881
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.1714
-0.5344
0.8167
Relative Score
C+
-0.001
+0.002
+0.001
  • Overall
  • 274
  • 2,671
  • $54,649,003
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5962
-1.9231
0.3370
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5205
-1.3656
0.3939
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3743
-0.9526
0.5405
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.1685
-0.5283
0.8207

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