Will the Barcelona win the 2025 La Liga Championship?
  • 377
  • 4,845
  • $5,899,121
Barcelona wins La Liga if they are champion at the end of the season. Markets resolve immediately when it becomes mathematically certain or impossible for them to win, with no consideration given to points deductions in past games. No further updates beyond these resolutions will affect the market's outcome. The resolution is based solely on the team's position in the league table at the end of the season. If Barcelona wins La Liga, the market resolves to "Yes", otherwise it resolves to "No".

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJul2024OctJan2025Apr

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 95
  • $78,040

Will the Barcelona win the La Liga Championship?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.1296
-0.4463
0.8716
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.1010
-0.3824
0.9065
30 Days Before Close
B-
0.0361
-0.2107
0.9736
7 Days Before Close
B
0.0144
-0.1278
0.9908
Relative Score
D+
+0.010
-0.025
-0.013
  • Manifold
  • 373
  • 56
  • $193

Will Barcelona win the 2024/25 La Liga?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B-
0.0391
-0.2203
0.9709
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.2571
-0.7074
0.6971
30 Days Before Close
B
0.0240
-0.1685
0.9836
7 Days Before Close
B+
0.0100
-0.1054
0.9939
Relative Score
A-
-0.010
+0.024
+0.013
  • Polymarket
  • 14
  • 4,789
  • $5,820,888

Will Barcelona win La Liga?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
B
0.0182
-0.1450
0.9880
Time-Weighted Average
A-
0.0071
-0.0878
0.9958
7 Days Before Close
B
0.0156
-0.1335
0.9899
Relative Score
C+
-0.000
+0.004
+0.000
  • Overall
  • 377
  • 4,845
  • $5,899,121
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.0623
-0.2705
0.9435
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.1217
-0.3925
0.8665
30 Days Before Close
B
0.0301
-0.1896
0.9786
7 Days Before Close
B+
0.0133
-0.1222
0.9916

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