Will the Florida Panthers win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
  • 69
  • 179
  • $102,113
This market resolves to "Yes" if the Florida Panthers become the 2024 Stanley Cup Champion. The market considers all potential outcomes throughout the playoffs, including being eliminated in earlier rounds or falling short of a championship due to the rules of the NHL. If it is determined that the Panthers cannot win based on these rules, the market will resolve immediately. For markets resolving by November 3, 2024, at 11:59 PM ET, the outcome is split 50-50 if the team remains in contention but the champion has not been determined yet.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ Probability21Apr285May1219262Jun91623

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.0113
-0.1123
0.9930
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.0874
-0.3504
0.9221
7 Days Before Close
C+
0.0058
-0.0791
0.9966
Relative Score
B-
-0.003
+0.008
+0.005
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5112
-1.2553
0.3703
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.3939
-0.9879
0.5102
30 Days Before Close
F
0.5112
-1.2553
0.3703
7 Days Before Close
C
0.0100
-0.1054
0.9939
Relative Score
C
+0.003
-0.008
-0.005
  • Overall
  • 69
  • 179
  • $102,113
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.2613
-0.6838
0.6816
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.2407
-0.6691
0.7162
30 Days Before Close
F
0.5112
-1.2553
0.3703
7 Days Before Close
C
0.0079
-0.0922
0.9953

Similar Questions

  • 3,589
  • $835,506

Manifold
B
-0.004
Polymarket
C
+0.004
  • 1,481
  • $522,273

Manifold
C-
+0.007
Polymarket
B
-0.007
  • 433
  • $61,435

Manifold
B
-0.008
Polymarket
C-
+0.008
  • 190
  • $174,576

Manifold
F
+0.131
Polymarket
S
-0.131
  • 58
  • $137,877

Manifold
D+
+0.013
Polymarket
A-
-0.013
  • 216
  • $3,836

Manifold
D+
+0.011
Metaculus
C
+0.005
Polymarket
B+
-0.009