Longtime car companies have autonomous driving technology in development and licenses for driverless cars have already been issued. Google's autonomous vehicles have demonstrated hundreds of thousands of miles without major accidents. However, progress may be hindered by significant technological, policy, or consumer barriers, which could impact commercial availability within the next 8 years. The outcome depends on who wins a bet involving two individuals: Jeff McAulay and Stephen Zoepf. The question will resolve as yes if McAulay is declared the winner and no if Zoepf is declared the winner.