Source: brier.fyi
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | B | 0.0034 | -0.0604 | 0.9981 |
Time-Weighted Average | C | 0.0080 | -0.0936 | 0.9952 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0005 | -0.0216 | 0.9998 |
7 Days Before Close | S | 0.0001 | -0.0101 | 0.9999 |
Relative Score | C- | +0.008 | -0.031 | -0.007 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | D+ | 0.0263 | -0.1769 | 0.9818 |
Time-Weighted Average | C | 0.0148 | -0.1299 | 0.9905 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0005 | -0.0215 | 0.9998 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0003 | -0.0174 | 0.9998 |
Relative Score | B | -0.008 | +0.031 | +0.007 |
Criterion | Grade | Brier/Quadratic | Logarithmic | Spherical |
---|---|---|---|---|
At Market Midpoint | C | 0.0149 | -0.1186 | 0.9899 |
Time-Weighted Average | C | 0.0114 | -0.1118 | 0.9929 |
30 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0005 | -0.0216 | 0.9998 |
7 Days Before Close | A+ | 0.0002 | -0.0137 | 0.9999 |
Kalshi | A | -0.027 |
Manifold | F | +0.039 |
Metaculus | A | -0.026 |
Polymarket | A | -0.017 |
Kalshi | B | -0.006 |
Manifold | C | +0.003 |
Metaculus | C | +0.004 |
Polymarket | C+ | -0.002 |