This market covers the 2024 New York Senate election, where Democratic candidate Kirsten Gillibrand is expected to win. The outcome will be determined by the party that wins the popular vote in the race, as verified by local, state, and federal governments. If major news organizations call the race for Gillibrand before Election Day, November 5, the market may resolve early. However, if Gillibrand switches parties after the start of voting, her switch will not affect the outcome. The resolution source is ultimately the official certification of the results, with additional validation from reputable sources such as the Associated Press and major news networks.