Will the Boston Celtics win the 2024 NBA Finals?
  • 295
  • 671
  • $61,768

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilitySep2023OctNovDecJan2024FebMarAprMayJun

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.5756
-1.4217
0.3031
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5045
-1.2388
0.3777
30 Days Before Close
F
0.2583
-0.7097
0.6954
7 Days Before Close
C
0.0098
-0.1044
0.9940
Relative Score
B-
-0.003
+0.011
+0.002
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.0552
-0.2679
0.9559
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.0453
-0.2394
0.9653
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.0441
-0.2357
0.9664
Relative Score
C
+0.003
-0.011
-0.002
  • Overall
  • 295
  • 671
  • $61,768
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3154
-0.8448
0.6295
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.2749
-0.7391
0.6715
30 Days Before Close
F
0.2583
-0.7097
0.6954
7 Days Before Close
D+
0.0270
-0.1701
0.9802

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