Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals?
  • 161
  • 190
  • $174,576
The New York Liberty's chances of winning the 2024 WNBA Finals were reflected in a series of markets. The most straightforward market simply asked if they would win, with a yes/no resolution based on their championship victory. Another market noted that the playoffs began on September 20th, providing context for when the competition might start. If the team's path to the finals was blocked due to league rules or elimination in the playoff bracket, the outcome of this market would be determined immediately. The markets' resolutions were primarily driven by official information from the WNBA.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityJun2024JulAugSepOct

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.6182
-1.5429
0.2624
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.5745
-1.4186
0.3042
30 Days Before Close
F
0.6402
-1.6102
0.2423
7 Days Before Close
F
0.3194
-0.8327
0.6098
Relative Score
F
+0.131
-0.313
-0.154
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.3600
-0.9163
0.5547
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.2364
-0.6660
0.7263
30 Days Before Close
F
0.3540
-0.9039
0.5627
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.2500
-0.6931
0.7071
Relative Score
S
-0.131
+0.313
+0.154
  • Overall
  • 161
  • 190
  • $174,576
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4891
-1.2296
0.4085
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.4055
-1.0423
0.5152
30 Days Before Close
F
0.4971
-1.2570
0.4025
7 Days Before Close
F
0.2847
-0.7629
0.6585

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