Kyiv is expected to fall to Russian forces before April 2022. The resolution criteria for one market requires that it be publicly reported by at least three reputable media sources or from direct statements from at least four Permanent UNSC members that the majority of Kyiv's raions are under Russian military control by April 1, 2022. Another market is focused on the proximity of Russian forces to the capital city with an uncertain resolution criteria as it may be resolved when Russian forces surround the city. A third market is concerned with the extent of control over a specific area near Kyiv that would indicate a loss of sovereignty for the city. The markets generally require that there be significant loss of control by April 2022 in order to resolve positively and signal a fall of the city.