Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram and TON blockchain network, has been detained in France on charges related to assisting terrorism and drug trafficking. The situation is being closely watched as he faces potential extradition back to Russia. A series of prediction markets have emerged to gauge whether Durov will leave France before January 2025. The resolution criteria vary across platforms, with some requiring confirmation that Durov has exited French airspace or maritime territory for the market to resolve in favor of "Yes". Ultimately, a credible report confirming Durov's departure from France by December 31, 2024, would determine the outcome of these markets.