This question is part of a prediction contest where participants forecast the average annual inflation rate in the US, with a specific focus on 2023. The outcome will be determined solely by Scott Alexander's judgment, as outlined in his 2023 prediction contest posts. A resolution above 4% would indicate that the predicted inflation rate exceeded this threshold, while a resolution below or at 4% suggests otherwise. Market participants have been encouraged to submit predictions on related questions, but these individual forecasts will not be considered by Alexander for evaluation purposes. The contest offers insight into market expectations and provides a unique platform for participants to share their forecasts with a wider audience.