This prediction is based on the historical net income of Twitter for 2022 and 2023. The resolution criteria involves comparing the number of available quarters from each year to their equivalents, with any additional data from 2023 being used in proportion to its availability. The decision to resolve the question will be made by Scott Alexander, who has exclusive authority over the prediction contest. In the event that not all four quarters of data are available for comparison in January 2024, predictions will use an imputed value based on the available data. A positive outcome means Twitter's net income in 2023 is expected to be higher than in 2022.