Tether's stability is under scrutiny, with some predicting a de-pegging event in 2023. The outcome will be determined if Tether spends at least one full day below 98 cents during the year. A market resolution requires confirmation from Scott Alexander through his judgment on Astral Codex Ten. The prediction contest rules are outlined on the platform, but it's unclear how Metaculus participants' predictions will be evaluated. The event is tied to a specific date range and outcome criteria, with a high-stakes consequence for those betting on its occurrence.