Will cryptocurrency Solana ($SOL) reach a new all-time high before January 2025?
  • 318
  • 673
  • $637,599
Solana began 2023 below $10 and finished above $100, with an all-time high in November 2021 at $260. A new all-time high is speculated, but only if Solana's value exceeds $260 in 2024. This market resolves to "Yes" if Solana never reaches a price greater than $259.90 on Binance between January 1 and December 31, 2024. The resolution source is the 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance or a consensus of other credible sources. If achieved, it would provide a 10x return for early purchasers.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityFeb2024MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 319
  • 17
  • $46

Will cryptocurrency Solana ($SOL) reach an all-time high in value during 2024

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D+
0.1811
-0.5543
0.8036
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.2892
-0.7717
0.6518
30 Days Before Close
F
0.4302
-1.0669
0.4646
7 Days Before Close
F
0.4279
-1.0618
0.4674
Relative Score
S
-0.073
+0.173
+0.089
  • Polymarket
  • 270
  • 656
  • $637,554

No Solana all time high in 2024? | Inverted

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4556
-1.1239
0.4338
Time-Weighted Average
F
0.3814
-0.9612
0.5265
30 Days Before Close
F
0.6561
-1.6607
0.2284
7 Days Before Close
D
0.2070
-0.6070
0.7676
Relative Score
F
+0.073
-0.173
-0.089
  • Overall
  • 318
  • 673
  • $637,599
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.3183
-0.8391
0.6187
Time-Weighted Average
D-
0.3353
-0.8664
0.5892
30 Days Before Close
F
0.5432
-1.3638
0.3465
7 Days Before Close
D-
0.3175
-0.8344
0.6175

Similar Questions

Will Bitcoin hit $100k before January 2025?
  • 5,683
  • $24,062,377
Kalshi
D
+0.016
Manifold
F
+0.042
Metaculus
A
-0.016
Polymarket
A
-0.038
Will Ethereum hit $5k before January 2025?
  • 7,195
  • $19,564,533
Kalshi
A
-0.023
Manifold
B+
-0.009
Polymarket
F
+0.043
Will Bitcoin hit $100k before December 2024?
  • 3,245
  • $30,076,768
Kalshi
C-
+0.007
Manifold
C-
+0.008
Polymarket
C
+0.001
Will Bitcoin hit $250k before January 2025?
  • 8,549
  • $9,422,751
Manifold
C
+0.002
Polymarket
B-
-0.002
Will Ethereum (ETH) reach a new all-time high before January 2025?
  • 4,742
  • $3,469,855
Kalshi
A
-0.033
Manifold
F
+0.126
Polymarket
A
-0.028
Will Bitcoin go up over 2023?
  • 297
  • $503
Manifold
B-
-0.004
Metaculus
C
+0.004