Will Ethereum hit $5k before January 2025?
  • 323
  • 7,195
  • $19,564,533
Ethereum's price is expected to reach $5,000 by December 31, 2024. Markets settle when the asset trades at this price on at least two of three exchanges (Coinbase, Kraken, and Binance) for a single minute interval during the trading day. The settlement criteria also consider data from Binance's 30-min candlestick high prices as an alternative resolution source. If Ethereum reaches $5,000 before December 31, 2024, at 23:59:59 EST, the market resolves to "Yes", while a price below this threshold by the same time results in a "No" outcome. The contract values are averaged from these minute interval prices, excluding extreme values and weekday-only data for settlement.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityMar2024AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 290
  • $51,000

How high will Ethereum get this year? | $5,000

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C+
0.0400
-0.2231
0.9701
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.0704
-0.3084
0.9405
30 Days Before Close
B
0.0256
-0.1744
0.9823
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0009
-0.0305
0.9995
Relative Score
A
-0.023
+0.050
+0.029
  • Manifold
  • 306
  • 148
  • $3,353

Will the price of Ether (Ethereum / ETH) exceed $5,000 in 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C
0.1097
-0.4022
0.8962
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.0880
-0.3519
0.9214
30 Days Before Close
B+
0.0117
-0.1146
0.9927
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0009
-0.0305
0.9995
Relative Score
B+
-0.009
+0.024
+0.010
  • Polymarket
  • 324
  • 7,047
  • $19,510,180

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D-
0.3249
-0.8440
0.6022
Time-Weighted Average
C-
0.1378
-0.4639
0.8612
30 Days Before Close
C+
0.0552
-0.2679
0.9559
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0003
-0.0187
0.9998
Relative Score
F
+0.043
-0.097
-0.055
  • Overall
  • 323
  • 7,195
  • $19,564,533
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
C-
0.1582
-0.4898
0.8228
Time-Weighted Average
C
0.0987
-0.3747
0.9077
30 Days Before Close
B
0.0309
-0.1856
0.9770
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0007
-0.0265
0.9996

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