Will Ethereum (ETH) reach a new all-time high before January 2025?
  • 309
  • 4,742
  • $3,469,855
If the price of Ethereum exceeds $4,891.70 according to Binance between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2024, or reaches an all-time high before that, the market resolves to "Yes". The resolution source uses 30-min candlestick high prices from Binance, with alternative credible sources used if Binance is unavailable. A similar resolution criteria applies to another market, which also considers a price above $4,891.70 on the specified dates. However, these markets do not have an explicit reference point or specific data exclusion criteria like one of the other markets. One market resolves based on an average of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) sixty minutes before 7:00 PM ET, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityMar2024AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJan2025

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Kalshi
  • 205
  • $155,044

How high will Ethereum get this year? | Before 2025

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
A-
0.0081
-0.0943
0.9951
Time-Weighted Average
C+
0.0467
-0.2436
0.9640
30 Days Before Close
C+
0.0576
-0.2744
0.9536
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0009
-0.0305
0.9995
Relative Score
A
-0.033
+0.074
+0.043
  • Manifold
  • 282
  • 37
  • $190

Will Ethereum (ETH) reach a new all-time high before the end of the year?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
F
0.4659
-1.1475
0.4217
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.2420
-0.6771
0.7185
30 Days Before Close
B
0.0237
-0.1673
0.9838
7 Days Before Close
A
0.0028
-0.0546
0.9984
Relative Score
F
+0.126
-0.276
-0.163
  • Polymarket
  • 310
  • 4,705
  • $3,314,621

No Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Inverted

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.2116
-0.6162
0.7612
Time-Weighted Average
C-
0.1305
-0.4482
0.8705
30 Days Before Close
C+
0.0552
-0.2679
0.9559
7 Days Before Close
A+
0.0003
-0.0182
0.9998
Relative Score
A
-0.028
+0.064
+0.035
  • Overall
  • 309
  • 4,742
  • $3,469,855
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.2285
-0.6193
0.7260
Time-Weighted Average
C-
0.1397
-0.4563
0.8510
30 Days Before Close
C+
0.0455
-0.2366
0.9644
7 Days Before Close
A
0.0014
-0.0344
0.9993

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