Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
  • 254
  • 5,595
  • $15,931,114
Jake Paul and Mike Tyson are set to face off in a live boxing event on July 20, 2024, at the AT&T Stadium. The outcome of the match is being predicted by fans, with one side betting that Jake Paul will emerge victorious. A win for either fighter will result in the "Yes" outcome, while any other scenario – including a draw, cancellation, or date change after December 31, 2024 – will lead to the "No" outcome. The resolution criteria are straightforward: if Jake Paul is declared the winner, his name will be on top.

Probability History

0102030405060708090100↑ ProbabilityApr2024MayJunJulAugSepOctNov

Source: brier.fyi

Detailed Scores

  • Manifold
  • 255
  • 701
  • $13,360

Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson 🥊|📺 Who will win the live Netflix boxing event? | Jake Paul

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.3025
-0.7985
0.6332
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.2203
-0.6337
0.7490
30 Days Before Close
D+
0.1766
-0.5452
0.8096
7 Days Before Close
C
0.1256
-0.4375
0.8766
Relative Score
D+
+0.013
-0.025
-0.018
  • Polymarket
  • 243
  • 4,894
  • $15,917,754

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D+
0.1936
-0.5798
0.7863
Time-Weighted Average
D+
0.1895
-0.5716
0.7919
30 Days Before Close
C-
0.1369
-0.4620
0.8623
7 Days Before Close
C-
0.1560
-0.5025
0.8373
Relative Score
A-
-0.013
+0.025
+0.018
  • Overall
  • 254
  • 5,595
  • $15,931,114
Criterion Grade Brier/QuadraticLogarithmicSpherical
At Market Midpoint
D
0.2481
-0.6892
0.7098
Time-Weighted Average
D
0.2049
-0.6026
0.7705
30 Days Before Close
C-
0.1568
-0.5036
0.8360
7 Days Before Close
C-
0.1408
-0.4700
0.8570

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